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Post by hambonepack on Dec 1, 2020 17:56:56 GMT -2
I figured it best to remove this topic from the sports board.
The good news is we have multiple vaccines in the pipeline. The bad news is the distribution and tracking of this vaccine is going to be very difficult to pull it off quickly and efficiently. All but one of the vaccines requires 2 shots spread out over 3-4 weeks which will slow down the process and storing the vaccine at very low temperatures further complicates the massive logistical problems. Needing 2 shots means it will take twice as long to vaccinate the population. The kids we love to watch play sports will be last in line for the vaccine-I think!
Therefor, I still predict no sports for this school year for MOCO, but I do think we are back to normal in the Fall and I think schools will be open for voluntary training over the summer. Getting those weight rooms opened back up is very important.
Here is the data I shared over on the sports board, it is updated to include November numbers. As you can see, the spike in deaths and hospitalizations for MD is very real!
March Deaths 42/185 Acute and ICU Beds used for Covid-19 Patients (Hospitalization Stats from highest Saturday each month) April Deaths 1124/1408 Beds May Deaths 1312/1665 Beds June Deaths 589/1059 Beds July Deaths 274/410. Beds August Deaths 245/592. Beds September Deaths 167/361. Beds October Deaths 202/520. Beds
November Deaths 540/1583 Beds
Edit Added on Nov. 7, 2020 More people have died in the past 2 weeks than died in all of September and October combined.
As of December 10th, we are on track to have over 1000 deaths during the month of December. Current trends might even surpass 1,200 this month.
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petew
Varsity Starter
Posts: 178
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Post by petew on Dec 2, 2020 12:04:04 GMT -2
Yesterday one of the news outlets reported on how many vaccines would initially be distributed to MD. Don’t remember the exact number but it was very small. This is going to take awhile. I almost wonder if it’d be best to vaccinate the kids first. Based on my conversations with contact tracers, they are a huge spreader and based on what I’ve observed, it’s the young folks who are congregating, not social distancing and then spreading it to their families.
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Post by hambonepack on Dec 2, 2020 14:10:14 GMT -2
Here are some more recent statistics based on age group deaths. All information is for the State of Maryland. From November 5 through December 1, 2020(based on information available on 12/2/20 from the MD COVID-19 Website) Age Range 00-19 - 1 Death (there have been 4 total deaths in this age group from COVID-19, I wonder how many mental health deaths we are going to end up with as compared to prior years) 20-29 - 2 Deaths (26 total) 30-39 - <1> Deaths (53 total) 40-49 - 9 Deaths (141 total) 50-59 - 38 Deaths (369 total) 60-69 - 63 Deaths (725 total) 70-79 - 139 Deaths (1143 total) 80+. - 261 Deaths (2095 total)
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Post by hambonepack on Dec 15, 2020 17:51:09 GMT -2
993 people have died in the State of Maryland since November 5, 2020. Here are some statistics to understand the age brackets impacted the hardest.
Age Range 00-19 - 2 Dead .2% of the deaths since Nov. 5 20-29 - 3 Dead .3% 30-39 - 3 Dead .3% 40-49 - 21 Dead 2.1% 50-59 - 59 Dead 5.9% 60-69 - 125 Dead 12.6% 70-79 - 266 Dead 26.8% 80+. - 514 Dead 51.8%
If those %'s don't add up to 100%, it's because of rounding errors.
Here is some information using confirmed COVID-19 Cases, Obviously, the number of people who have had COVID-19 is much higher.
Age Range 00-19 - 32,034 Confirmed Cases/5 Deaths/Death Rate = .0156% 20-29 - 44,931 Confirmed Cases/27 Deaths/Death Rate = .06% 30-39 - 42,454 Confirmed Cases/57 Deaths/Death Rate = .134% 40-49 - 37,257 Confirmed Cases/153 Deaths/Death Rate = .411% 50-59 - 35,563 Confirmed Cases/390 Deaths/Death Rate = 1.097% 60-69 - 23,692 Confirmed Cases/787 Deaths/Death Rate = 3.322% 70-79 - 13,703 Confirmed Cases/1,270 Deaths/Death Rate = 9.27% 80+. - 9,728 Confirmed Cases/2,348 Deaths/Death Rate = 24.14%
How to read the numbers: ex. If you were one of the 42,454 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the 30-39 age bracket, the likely-hood that you would die is about .134%.That's about 1 out of every 744 confirmed cases in your age bracket would die. If you are 80+, the likely-hood that you would die is 24.14%. That's 1 out of every 4 confirmed cases in your age bracket would die.
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